AI to EV / Value creation plan
Value Creation Plan
Entry —
·
Month — of 60
·
— months to exit
Executive read
Closing two capability levels creates $501.6M net EV (+4.6%); Product is the highest-value initiative, while Sales effectiveness has the widest gap among the three initiatives shown.
Forecast: 84.3% of run-rate
EBITDA realized by month 36
EBITDA realized by month 36
Run-rate EBITDA added AI-To-EV Method
—
Annual, after feasibility + timing
Against EBITDA base AI-To-EV Method
$630M
42% × $1.5B total revenue
Uplift on base Est.
—
—
Enterprise value added, net AI-To-EV Method
$501.6M
After $16.3M program cost NPV
One-time build cost AI-To-EV Method
$7.5M
Excludes $2.5M/yr run cost
Simple payback Est.
—
Build cost ÷ annual EBITDA added
Returns impact pending debt schedule and baseline growth case.
Initiative pipeline
Run-rate EBITDA opportunity by stage
Identified
$45M
8 initiatives
Validated
$32M
5 initiatives
In-flight
$20M
3 initiatives
Realized
$8M
2 initiatives
Run-rate
$4M
1 initiative
Value realization trajectory
BenchmarkedMonth 1212.9%
Month 36 plan84.3%
Exit (month 60)~100%
Plan
Benchmark
Run-rate EBITDA at exit —
Plan: — ·
Benchmark: Reference case
Off-track initiatives
R
Product gap
$165.6M
A
Pricing capture
$94.2M
A
Sales effectiveness
$37.5M
Accountable next actions
Appendix — Capability scores (diagnostic; not management targets)
AI capability maturity scores from the AI-To-EV Method, showing distance to frontier. These are diagnostic inputs — they explain the source of the value opportunity. The initiative pipeline above is the operating view.
| Initiative | Current | Frontier | Progress | At stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product | 5.99 | 9.50 | $165.6M | |
| Pricing | 5.70 | 9.45 | $94.2M | |
| Sales effectiveness | 5.56 | 9.53 | $37.5M |
AI to EV / Value reconciliation
Enterprise Value
Creation Bridge
Executive read
The AI program creates $517.9M gross EV; after $16.3M cost, $501.6M reaches enterprise value — moving the mark from $11.0B to $11.50B.
All values from the
AI-To-EV Method
AI-To-EV Method
AI-to-EV bridge
Enterprise value$ billions
$11.00B
ARR $1.20B
at 9.17x
at 9.17x
+$221.3M
ARR uplift
capitalized
capitalized
+$296.6M
9.17x → 9.41x
on new ARR
on new ARR
−$16.3M
NPV of build
and run cost
and run cost
$11.50B
Net uplift
$501.6M
$501.6M
Capability scenarios
Net ofprogram cost
| Position | EV | Net ΔEV |
|---|---|---|
| Stay where you are | $11.00B | −$16.3M |
| Move one level | $11.25B | +$238.4M |
| Move two levels | $11.52B | +$501.6M |
| Close gap entirely | $11.56B | +$541.0M |
The two-level case is the sponsor-underwritable operating plan used throughout the value creation plan.
Underwritable P&L effect
| Effect | Annual | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $25.96M | 59.7% |
| Cash EBITDA | $17.49M | 40.3% |
| Combined | $43.45M | 100% |
Revenue adds to ARR; cash EBITDA captures the cost-side effect. The pool is not capitalized twice.
Spend-to-value
One-time build
$7.5M
Annual run cost
$2.5M
Cost NPV
$16.3M
Simple payback
—
Five-year NPV at the AI-To-EV Method's 10% WACC. Undiscounted hold-period cost: $20.0M.